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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.39+7.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.88vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+5.64vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.59+3.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+7.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+3.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+1.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.86-2.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.16+2.95vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-6.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-5.88vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.54-1.39vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.52vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.39vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.89-5.43vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.60-5.29vs Predicted
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18The Citadel1.22-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Northeastern University1.395.5%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.2%1st Place
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8.64Princeton University1.874.6%1st Place
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7.4University of Rhode Island1.598.1%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.8%1st Place
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9.26Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.435.5%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University1.184.9%1st Place
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6.34Brown University1.8610.7%1st Place
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12.95Harvard University0.162.1%1st Place
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4.63Bowdoin College2.3816.0%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University2.1211.8%1st Place
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11.61University of Vermont0.542.6%1st Place
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9.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.8%1st Place
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15.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.5%1st Place
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10.57Northwestern University0.893.5%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College0.602.1%1st Place
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10.83The Citadel1.223.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 16.0% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Quine | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Kristin Hess | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 46.3% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.