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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+4.94vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.59+5.50vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+1.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+4.42vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.87+2.95vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.60vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22+2.96vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.86-2.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.39-2.88vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.89-1.58vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.43-0.96vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-6.08vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-5.80vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.54-4.61vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.66vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.16-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Tufts University2.1210.7%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island1.597.1%1st Place
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4.66Bowdoin College2.3816.8%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.0%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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8.95Princeton University1.874.1%1st Place
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9.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.2%1st Place
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10.96The Citadel1.223.6%1st Place
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6.25Brown University1.869.5%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.4%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University1.396.3%1st Place
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10.42Northwestern University0.893.6%1st Place
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12.04Connecticut College0.432.6%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University1.437.0%1st Place
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9.2Northeastern University1.185.7%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont0.542.8%1st Place
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15.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.6%1st Place
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13.19Harvard University0.161.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% |
| Everett Nash | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Quinn | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Jack Flores | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Luke Quine | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Kristin Hess | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 45.8% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.