Race 5B

moody

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Thomas Galster 4.7% 3.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 5.6% 5.1% 5.2% 5.1% 6.1% 5.3% 7.6% 6.9% 8.6% 9.9% 8.8% 5.9%
Dan Nickerson 8.5% 7.1% 7.5% 8.5% 8.0% 5.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.4% 8.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.0% 3.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.6%
Conor Lodge 5.1% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.4% 4.8% 6.5% 5.6% 5.6% 5.3% 6.9% 7.5% 6.9% 8.6% 7.9% 5.5% 4.6%
J. Jacob 8.7% 9.7% 6.1% 7.6% 6.0% 8.8% 5.7% 8.5% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 4.7% 4.3% 3.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Arthur Libby 1.0% 1.1% 2.9% 1.9% 3.8% 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 4.9% 5.7% 7.4% 6.6% 10.4% 13.9% 26.9%
Brian Drumm 8.0% 6.9% 7.2% 8.1% 7.2% 8.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.0% 5.4% 5.0% 1.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Michael Popp 7.9% 8.1% 6.9% 6.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 5.7% 4.8% 5.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Eric Siegel 3.5% 2.4% 4.6% 4.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 5.7% 5.3% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 10.0% 9.4% 10.9%
Deirdre Lambert 10.0% 9.8% 12.3% 10.7% 9.1% 7.6% 7.6% 6.2% 6.4% 4.9% 5.4% 4.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
Jordan Bothwick 4.1% 4.3% 6.4% 5.6% 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 5.4% 2.2%
William Sands 7.2% 7.1% 6.1% 5.8% 7.4% 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 5.7% 6.5% 5.2% 3.5% 3.0% 1.5%
Joseph Kiss 9.2% 12.7% 9.3% 8.6% 7.5% 8.3% 7.2% 8.2% 6.4% 4.8% 6.3% 3.4% 3.4% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Christopher Jensen 2.7% 3.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 7.9% 9.8% 11.9% 11.8% 14.2%
Pearson Potts 11.2% 11.1% 10.9% 9.5% 9.4% 7.9% 8.5% 6.3% 6.3% 5.5% 4.6% 3.4% 2.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Domenic Bove 4.3% 3.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 6.2% 5.3% 3.3% 5.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 9.3% 7.7% 5.9%
Samuel Cushing 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 4.6% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 5.5% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6% 7.9% 7.2% 9.7% 6.8% 8.6% 4.8%
Max Kohrman 0.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 8.8% 9.6% 18.5% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.