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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+6.51vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+5.03vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.86vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.49+3.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.13vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.87+7.28vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.02+5.60vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.22vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-3.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-0.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.51vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-1.86vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.69-2.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.29-2.11vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-3.89vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.41-8.52vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.96-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.28SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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12.6Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.4Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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11.11Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| J. Jacob | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 28.4% |
| Max Kohrman | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Michael Popp | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.