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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.33+6.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+4.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.49+3.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+2.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72-0.74vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84+1.49vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.69+1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72+0.01vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-0.45vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87+1.08vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-7.21vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.29-2.11vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.96-5.84vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.02-3.31vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.42Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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13.08SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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12.69Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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11.19Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sands | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| J. Jacob | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Popp | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Thomas Galster | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 27.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Max Kohrman | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 20.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.