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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+4.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+6.50vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+3.31vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.76+2.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.53+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.29-0.57vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-4.83vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-3.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75-2.10vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.73-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.530.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.17Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.21Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Lihan | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 17.2% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 17.9% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 22.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.