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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+4.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+8.16vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+4.10vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+5.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+2.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72+3.11vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-2.18vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.49-1.68vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.46vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87+2.15vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-0.37vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.33-5.15vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-2.79vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.96-5.81vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.72-9.68vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.02-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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13.15SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston3.330.1%1st Place
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11.21Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.32Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.63Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| J. Jacob | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Galster | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 29.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% |
| William Sands | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Kohrman | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.