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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.25vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+6.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.42vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.22vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+4.32vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.49vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+1.77vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.76vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+1.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.45vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-1.90vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-3.86vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.37vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-6.83vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.65-6.12vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.63-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.91Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.77Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.24College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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11.1George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.14Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Kara Voss | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.