← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University0.97+7.27vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+6.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.81+2.87vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.67+1.73vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.38+5.71vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.60vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.71-1.28vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.42-1.05vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College0.76+0.75vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University1.49-3.46vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University0.27-0.35vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.59-5.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.46-2.56vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-1.48vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University-0.08-2.68vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-5.23vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.27Boston University0.975.1%1st Place
-
8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.9%1st Place
-
5.87University of Rhode Island1.8111.9%1st Place
-
5.73Tufts University1.6711.9%1st Place
-
10.71Connecticut College0.382.8%1st Place
-
7.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.226.2%1st Place
-
5.72Northeastern University1.7112.2%1st Place
-
6.95Brown University1.428.0%1st Place
-
9.75Bowdoin College0.763.5%1st Place
-
6.54Northwestern University1.499.7%1st Place
-
10.65Princeton University0.273.5%1st Place
-
6.86Northeastern University1.598.6%1st Place
-
10.44University of Vermont0.463.2%1st Place
-
12.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.4%1st Place
-
12.32Harvard University-0.081.9%1st Place
-
10.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.4%1st Place
-
14.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.670.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Lars Osell | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Shea Smith | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Morris | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 19.0% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% |
| Max Case | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.