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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+9.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+5.53vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+1.40vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.51+5.32vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71+3.41vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+1.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-4.05vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-0.14vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-1.50vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-2.97vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-3.27vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.65-3.63vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-6.87vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.63-2.37vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.4College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.32George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.41Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.1Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.86Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.03Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.73Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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14.63University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| Mary Hall | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Kara Voss | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 38.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.