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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.24vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+8.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+6.92vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.34vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.63+9.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+3.25vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51+4.27vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.83vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.65-0.14vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.00vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-4.08vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.76vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-3.08vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-7.22vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.71-10.51vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.71-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.12Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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9.25Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.27George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.86Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.0Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.78Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.27Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Kara Voss | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 36.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Maeve White | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.