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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.32+7.28vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+3.30vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+3.01vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-0.04vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.22+3.54vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59-1.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.71-0.25vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.28-3.16vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66-2.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.26vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-1.08vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.16-3.17vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.90-1.20vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.37-3.75vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.48-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Salve Regina University1.325.2%1st Place
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5.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5512.1%1st Place
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6.01Salve Regina University1.3110.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston University1.017.9%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island1.6114.9%1st Place
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9.54Olin College of Engineering0.223.4%1st Place
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5.14Northeastern University1.5914.4%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University0.715.2%1st Place
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5.84Brown University1.2810.8%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University0.665.8%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.8%1st Place
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10.92Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.272.2%1st Place
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9.83Harvard University0.162.5%1st Place
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12.8Williams College-0.901.0%1st Place
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11.25Middlebury College-0.371.4%1st Place
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14.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Severin Gramm | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 7.9% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 22.6% | 23.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 8.5% |
| Dominic Ioime | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.