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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.47vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+6.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90+4.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.39vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+2.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+1.10vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.48vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04-1.77vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34+0.33vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.65-2.46vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.63+0.20vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.71-4.60vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.52vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.92-7.29vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.51-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.92Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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5.08Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.34College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.58University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.89Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.1Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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10.4Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.71Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.08George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Kara Voss | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 34.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% |
| Maeve White | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.