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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+3.86vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+3.22vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.32+5.40vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+1.87vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.01+1.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66+1.78vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59-1.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.71-0.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.28-3.20vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.63vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.37+0.29vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.27-0.94vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.16-3.33vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-4.07vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.90-2.20vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.48-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of Rhode Island1.6113.7%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5513.9%1st Place
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8.4Salve Regina University1.325.1%1st Place
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5.87Salve Regina University1.3110.5%1st Place
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6.99Boston University1.016.9%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University0.665.9%1st Place
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5.3Northeastern University1.5911.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University0.715.2%1st Place
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5.8Brown University1.2810.3%1st Place
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9.37Olin College of Engineering0.224.2%1st Place
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11.29Middlebury College-0.372.6%1st Place
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11.06Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.271.7%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University0.163.2%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.5%1st Place
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12.8Williams College-0.901.5%1st Place
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13.99Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.480.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Severin Gramm | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 9.4% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 23.4% |
| Dominic Ioime | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 18.8% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.