Race 6A

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katii Gullick 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 6.1% 5.9% 5.8% 7.1% 6.7% 8.8% 9.3% 11.7% 12.7% 13.7%
Sarah Lihan 6.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 9.1% 7.5% 8.7% 9.1% 6.4% 3.2%
Caroline Wilhelm 2.7% 3.4% 3.1% 4.9% 4.3% 5.9% 5.5% 7.3% 6.8% 9.5% 12.1% 14.1% 20.4%
Amy Hawkins 10.2% 10.2% 11.8% 11.0% 9.3% 10.2% 8.4% 7.1% 6.9% 6.8% 4.3% 2.4% 1.4%
Catherine Swanson 6.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.6% 6.7% 7.3% 8.3% 10.7% 9.4% 8.4% 8.4% 7.1%
Elizabeth Barry 10.1% 10.0% 11.7% 8.4% 9.1% 9.0% 8.0% 7.9% 8.0% 7.1% 4.3% 4.2% 2.2%
Krysta Rohde 7.2% 6.4% 6.6% 5.7% 7.5% 7.3% 8.6% 8.1% 8.8% 8.0% 9.5% 9.5% 6.8%
Anne Haeger 18.3% 18.4% 13.0% 11.1% 11.4% 8.3% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Emily Lambert 9.0% 7.5% 8.1% 9.9% 8.9% 8.3% 10.3% 9.5% 6.5% 7.1% 5.9% 5.6% 3.4%
Maggie Shea 9.9% 9.4% 8.7% 9.4% 7.3% 9.8% 9.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.2% 5.6% 5.7% 3.1%
Charlotte Williamson 3.4% 2.7% 5.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.4% 5.7% 6.4% 8.3% 9.9% 10.8% 14.0% 18.6%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 8.9% 9.5% 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 8.4% 7.7% 9.9% 9.1% 6.6% 5.5% 3.7% 2.7%
Kimberly Kaull 3.1% 4.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 7.0% 6.8% 6.5% 7.5% 9.6% 11.2% 12.9% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.