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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.44vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+6.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+5.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+5.35vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+2.39vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+1.83vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.67vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.51+1.54vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-2.14vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.63+1.30vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.99vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-3.07vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.47vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.78vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.65-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.08Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.35Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.36College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.83Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.54George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.86Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.94Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.3University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Maeve White | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Kara Voss | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 37.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.