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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.48vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+5.92vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+5.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.45vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.65+3.64vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+2.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.59vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-0.59vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.54vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04-2.53vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-1.85vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.42vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-5.46vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.93vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.51vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.63-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.92Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.64Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.37Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.41Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.15George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.54Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Maeve White | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% |
| Kara Voss | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.