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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+8.77vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+6.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+5.42vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+3.96vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+3.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.49vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.65+2.62vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01+0.14vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.36vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-5.88vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.20vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-1.26vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.71-7.84vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.73vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-4.63vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.14-8.16vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.63-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.77Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.62Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.14Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.37George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.84Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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14.34University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Maeve White | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.9% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Kara Voss | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.