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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+7.76vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+5.77vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+4.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+2.64vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-1.71vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14-0.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.20vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.65-0.15vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.02vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-3.97vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.63-0.55vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.92vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-7.48vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.51-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.76Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.77Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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6.29College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.64Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.85Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.98Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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12.08Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.09George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% |
| Maeve White | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% |
| Kara Voss | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 36.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.