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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+3.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.33+5.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+2.81vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+2.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.78+0.28vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.26-1.21vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.05+1.65vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.03-3.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.10-2.42vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.79-0.92vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-1.03-1.24vs Predicted
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13Williams College-1.45-1.43vs Predicted
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14Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.88-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Salve Regina University1.2112.2%1st Place
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7.02Brown University0.336.8%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University0.699.9%1st Place
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6.3Salve Regina University0.467.7%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University0.7810.4%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University1.2614.5%1st Place
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8.65Olin College of Engineering-0.053.6%1st Place
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4.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.2513.5%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island1.0311.7%1st Place
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7.58Boston University0.104.4%1st Place
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10.08Middlebury College-0.792.5%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University-1.031.2%1st Place
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11.57Williams College-1.450.8%1st Place
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12.25Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.880.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Grace Augspurger | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 9.0% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 14.6% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 24.6% | 26.1% |
| Brett Cohen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.