← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.10+4.20vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.43vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.97+6.65vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.92+5.49vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.71+5.35vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.71+0.34vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.46vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.90+1.56vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin3.04+0.05vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.85+0.17vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.28vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.51-0.34vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.01-3.93vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami1.63+0.20vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College3.14-6.40vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.65-5.21vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.51vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University2.34-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.2Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
6.43U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.65Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.49Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
10.35Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.34College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.56University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.05University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
10.17Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.66George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
9.07Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
14.2University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.6Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
10.79Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
-
11.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.76Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Maeve White | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Kara Voss | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 35.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.