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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+2.78vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+1.69vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+2.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+0.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.78-0.72vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.05+1.78vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.10-0.43vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.79+1.06vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.33-3.06vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-1.03-0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.03-6.83vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.88-0.77vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.45-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Salve Regina University1.2112.1%1st Place
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4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.2512.5%1st Place
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4.69Northeastern University1.2614.1%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University0.467.4%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University0.699.3%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University0.7812.2%1st Place
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8.78Olin College of Engineering-0.053.6%1st Place
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7.57Boston University0.104.9%1st Place
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10.06Middlebury College-0.792.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University0.336.3%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University-1.031.6%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island1.0312.2%1st Place
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12.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.880.7%1st Place
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11.63Williams College-1.450.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Snow | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Grace Augspurger | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 13.2% |
| Tyler Miller | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brett Cohen | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 46.5% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 24.5% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.