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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+8.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.50vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+6.81vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.65+6.66vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+2.66vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+0.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.48vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71+0.75vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-0.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.39vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.63+1.31vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.51-3.01vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-5.89vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.47vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-4.85vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.81Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.66Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.61Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.03Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.75Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.06Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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14.31University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.11Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Maeve White | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Mary Hall | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Kara Voss | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 37.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.