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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+3.75vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.21+3.09vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+3.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.03+1.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+0.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.78-0.76vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.33-0.05vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.26-3.28vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.69+0.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-1.03+0.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.10-3.53vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.79-1.84vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.88-0.81vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.45-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.2513.7%1st Place
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5.09Salve Regina University1.2113.8%1st Place
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6.26Salve Regina University0.467.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island1.0312.4%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University0.698.9%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University0.7811.7%1st Place
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6.95Brown University0.336.0%1st Place
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4.72Northeastern University1.2614.1%1st Place
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9.18Olin College of Engineering-0.692.6%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University-1.031.4%1st Place
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7.47Boston University0.104.9%1st Place
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10.16Middlebury College-0.791.2%1st Place
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12.19Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.880.8%1st Place
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11.44Williams College-1.451.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Miller | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 12.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Grace Augspurger | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 9.0% |
| Brett Cohen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 45.2% |
| Nick Harrington | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 23.7% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.