Race 4B

central-series-four

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emil Tullberg 7.7% 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 8.7% 9.2% 11.2% 9.9% 10.6% 7.5% 6.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Niall Sheridan 10.9% 11.1% 10.1% 10.9% 11.7% 10.1% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Samantha Jensen 9.3% 9.2% 10.5% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 9.3% 8.8% 8.4% 7.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Renato Korzinek 4.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.2% 7.8% 9.0% 9.8% 11.3% 12.4% 10.2% 7.3% 3.8% 0.9%
Max Katz-Christy 14.3% 13.7% 12.9% 11.9% 11.3% 10.7% 8.2% 6.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 13.5% 13.7% 11.6% 11.5% 10.7% 10.2% 8.8% 7.6% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Peter Cronin 12.6% 13.0% 11.9% 12.1% 10.2% 9.9% 8.9% 7.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Grace Augspurger 2.4% 2.0% 2.9% 1.8% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 6.2% 6.7% 10.3% 13.8% 18.7% 14.9% 9.8%
Alexander Miller 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.4% 7.5% 9.8% 11.4% 15.7% 13.4% 10.9% 4.5%
Keller Morrison 6.5% 6.1% 6.7% 7.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.8% 10.9% 9.8% 9.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.5%
Tyler Miller 12.2% 12.1% 12.2% 12.3% 9.6% 9.9% 9.2% 7.4% 6.6% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Nick Harrington 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 6.5% 9.9% 14.8% 24.3% 27.0%
Jack Schwab 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 5.1% 5.8% 8.5% 13.2% 19.4% 19.0% 13.0%
Brett Cohen 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 3.4% 4.0% 6.3% 11.9% 21.9% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.