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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+8.85vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.65+8.95vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+7.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+5.07vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.42vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34+5.99vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71+3.46vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-4.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.50vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.47vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.32vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-3.53vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.51-3.03vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.63-0.55vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.52vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.75vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-10.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.1Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.46Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.63Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.53College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.97George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
| Maeve White | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Kara Voss | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 37.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.