Race 5B

central-series-four

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Katz-Christy 13.4% 13.2% 12.3% 12.3% 12.0% 9.6% 8.6% 7.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 10.1% 8.8% 10.5% 9.5% 9.7% 9.4% 9.7% 8.9% 8.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 7.9% 8.6% 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 9.8% 9.4% 10.9% 9.2% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 13.9% 12.6% 11.6% 13.0% 9.9% 10.5% 9.2% 7.0% 5.3% 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Renato Korzinek 4.7% 6.1% 6.7% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 8.6% 8.7% 10.5% 11.3% 11.8% 7.6% 3.9% 0.6%
Colin Snow 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.8% 11.7% 12.3% 13.2% 13.4% 7.2% 2.1%
Niall Sheridan 10.7% 11.2% 10.2% 9.8% 11.2% 9.9% 10.0% 9.5% 6.9% 6.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Keller Morrison 7.0% 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 10.9% 11.1% 10.8% 10.0% 6.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Peter Cronin 12.2% 12.2% 12.2% 11.2% 10.7% 10.4% 9.2% 8.1% 6.1% 4.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Tyler Miller 12.1% 12.2% 12.0% 11.5% 10.9% 10.9% 8.2% 7.5% 5.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Schwab 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 4.4% 6.0% 8.5% 13.4% 15.8% 20.5% 13.3%
Grace Augspurger 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 6.8% 9.4% 13.7% 19.5% 16.4% 9.3%
Nick Harrington 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.2% 4.7% 5.7% 8.6% 15.8% 24.2% 28.3%
Brett Cohen 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 6.9% 11.2% 21.6% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.