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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+8.55vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+8.14vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+3.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.25vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+4.46vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+4.52vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-2.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.65+2.58vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+0.05vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.21vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-2.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.43vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-4.62vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.63-0.55vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.55vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.39vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.51-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.14Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.46Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.52Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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4.97Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.8Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.57Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.38University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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11.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.08George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Maeve White | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Kara Voss | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 34.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.