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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.03+4.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.78+3.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+2.90vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.21+0.98vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering-0.05+3.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33+1.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.26-2.26vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46-1.68vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.10-1.44vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-1.03+0.57vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.45+0.56vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.79-1.77vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.88-0.65vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-9.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.0311.7%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University0.7811.9%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University0.699.5%1st Place
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4.98Salve Regina University1.2113.2%1st Place
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8.49Olin College of Engineering-0.053.8%1st Place
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7.05Brown University0.336.2%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University1.2613.7%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University0.467.3%1st Place
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7.56Boston University0.105.1%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University-1.031.8%1st Place
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11.56Williams College-1.450.9%1st Place
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10.23Middlebury College-0.791.8%1st Place
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12.35Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.880.7%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.2512.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 12.4% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 28.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 9.8% |
| Brett Cohen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 21.7% | 45.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.