Race 7A

women-ne-reed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Maggie Shea 8.4% 8.5% 10.0% 8.6% 8.5% 9.1% 9.9% 8.1% 8.8% 6.8% 6.4% 4.7% 2.2%
Catherine Swanson 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 8.2% 6.2% 7.0% 8.7% 9.4% 9.2% 7.9% 9.4% 9.7% 6.7%
Emily Lambert 7.2% 8.5% 10.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.7% 8.8% 9.7% 9.1% 7.0% 6.1% 4.8% 3.1%
Sarah Lihan 8.3% 6.6% 7.9% 9.0% 8.9% 8.3% 7.6% 9.2% 7.9% 9.0% 6.4% 6.8% 4.1%
Anne Haeger 18.8% 18.5% 12.7% 11.0% 11.5% 8.4% 6.8% 4.1% 3.8% 2.1% 1.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Elizabeth Barry 9.9% 10.1% 7.9% 12.1% 9.0% 9.6% 8.0% 9.3% 5.6% 6.8% 5.4% 4.3% 2.0%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 11.2% 8.7% 10.1% 8.3% 9.2% 9.1% 9.4% 7.6% 7.7% 7.9% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0%
Krysta Rohde 5.4% 7.9% 6.2% 6.4% 6.3% 9.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.9% 8.1% 6.2%
Kimberly Kaull 4.3% 4.8% 3.8% 4.8% 4.3% 5.4% 7.1% 7.1% 9.5% 8.4% 11.8% 12.2% 16.5%
Amy Hawkins 11.9% 10.2% 11.6% 10.1% 10.4% 8.4% 8.7% 7.3% 6.2% 5.8% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5%
Charlotte Williamson 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 7.9% 9.9% 12.3% 12.8% 18.5%
Katii Gullick 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 7.7% 5.2% 5.9% 6.7% 8.3% 10.1% 10.0% 13.6% 15.6%
Caroline Wilhelm 2.4% 3.3% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.4% 8.5% 11.4% 15.1% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.