Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 14.8% 13.0% 14.3% 12.2% 12.2% 11.8% 8.8% 6.4% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.4% 16.8% 14.5% 13.2% 10.2% 9.8% 6.9% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 10.5% 11.5% 10.0% 12.2% 9.8% 10.1% 10.7% 9.6% 8.1% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Daniel Hodges 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 10.6% 9.7% 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 11.1% 8.9% 5.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Leopold Brandl 15.1% 12.5% 12.3% 11.8% 12.4% 9.6% 10.2% 7.1% 5.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 13.7% 14.2% 12.7% 12.4% 11.7% 11.5% 8.8% 6.6% 4.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Owen Ward 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 8.2% 10.4% 10.2% 10.5% 11.3% 10.0% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.4%
Constantyn van der Voort 5.5% 4.9% 4.7% 5.8% 7.4% 8.5% 9.1% 10.8% 12.1% 13.5% 10.1% 6.0% 1.7%
Stanley Galloway 3.3% 5.0% 5.8% 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 8.2% 10.0% 12.5% 15.6% 12.5% 6.6% 2.6%
Kristin Hess 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 5.4% 8.0% 9.0% 13.0% 19.8% 18.6% 9.4%
Alec Wyers 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 5.0% 6.4% 8.4% 9.9% 12.8% 19.1% 15.2% 7.0%
Elliot Tindall 0.9% 1.0% 2.4% 1.1% 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.8% 6.9% 9.2% 14.8% 27.9% 23.5%
Stephen Blair 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 5.5% 8.5% 19.6% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.