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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.40vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+7.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+6.15vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+3.68vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+2.83vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.25vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.64vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.65+0.94vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-1.52vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.65vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.14-5.63vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-5.97vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-6.76vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-4.88vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.63-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.71Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.01Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.15George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.68University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.83Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.64Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.37Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.24Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.37University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Maeve White | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Tell | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% |
| Kara Voss | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.