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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+7.88vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+7.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.16vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+0.32vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-1.51vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67+0.83vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.88vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.04vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-2.13vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+0.47vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.07-1.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.27vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.34-2.13vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.61-3.99vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.22-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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6.32Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.87Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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13.01Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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16.27University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 3.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 22.5% | 14.7% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.