← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College1.66+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.83+4.41vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University1.87+1.64vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University1.47+0.29vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University1.28-0.48vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech0.72-0.78vs Predicted
-
70.66-1.03vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary0.12-0.51vs Predicted
-
9University of Pittsburgh0.07-1.29vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.60vs Predicted
-
11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-0.46vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University-0.37-3.01vs Predicted
-
13American University-1.84-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Washington College1.6615.9%1st Place
-
6.41Christopher Newport University0.836.8%1st Place
-
4.64Princeton University1.8713.4%1st Place
-
4.29Hampton University1.4716.4%1st Place
-
4.52Columbia University1.2813.7%1st Place
-
5.22Virginia Tech0.729.8%1st Place
-
5.970.668.8%1st Place
-
7.49William and Mary0.125.2%1st Place
-
7.71University of Pittsburgh0.074.0%1st Place
-
9.4SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.7%1st Place
-
10.54Rochester Institute of Technology-1.071.1%1st Place
-
8.99Syracuse University-0.372.5%1st Place
-
11.65American University-1.840.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stewart Gurnell | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daniel Hodges | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Connor Mraz | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Valerio Palamara | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Leopold Brandl | 13.7% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Christopher Magno | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Owen Ward | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Constantyn van der Voort | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
Stanley Galloway | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
Kristin Hess | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.5% |
Elliot Tindall | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 27.9% | 23.0% |
Alec Wyers | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 5.7% |
Stephen Blair | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.