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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 15.9% 16.2% 14.1% 12.8% 12.4% 9.5% 7.2% 5.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 6.8% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 9.6% 11.3% 11.2% 11.5% 9.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Connor Mraz 13.4% 12.7% 12.8% 13.4% 10.9% 11.6% 9.3% 6.5% 4.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 16.4% 14.3% 14.1% 11.9% 11.7% 9.8% 8.5% 6.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Leopold Brandl 13.7% 13.4% 14.0% 12.7% 11.8% 10.6% 9.3% 6.4% 4.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 9.8% 11.1% 10.4% 10.9% 12.9% 11.1% 10.3% 9.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Owen Ward 8.8% 8.6% 7.8% 10.1% 8.8% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8% 10.2% 7.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.4%
Constantyn van der Voort 5.2% 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 5.6% 7.2% 9.6% 12.2% 11.6% 13.0% 10.8% 7.1% 1.6%
Stanley Galloway 4.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 7.1% 8.1% 7.8% 10.2% 12.1% 13.9% 11.2% 8.2% 2.5%
Kristin Hess 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 5.3% 7.6% 10.4% 13.4% 18.1% 17.0% 11.5%
Elliot Tindall 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 6.2% 9.2% 16.4% 27.9% 23.0%
Alec Wyers 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.5% 5.0% 6.1% 9.5% 10.3% 14.8% 18.1% 15.8% 5.7%
Stephen Blair 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 0.9% 1.6% 2.4% 3.9% 5.0% 9.2% 18.1% 54.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.