Race 3A

grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Daniel Hodges 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.9% 11.7% 10.9% 9.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Leopold Brandl 14.5% 12.2% 13.9% 12.1% 11.2% 10.2% 10.0% 7.8% 4.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 17.5% 15.1% 14.2% 14.1% 10.8% 9.8% 7.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 16.1% 15.3% 13.3% 13.1% 10.9% 9.8% 8.2% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 13.8% 14.8% 13.3% 10.9% 12.0% 11.2% 8.5% 6.4% 4.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 7.4% 7.6% 10.5% 11.2% 11.8% 12.4% 10.6% 7.8% 2.1%
Owen Ward 7.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 10.7% 10.0% 10.7% 10.4% 7.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Christopher Magno 10.2% 11.0% 12.0% 10.6% 12.1% 11.2% 10.4% 8.5% 6.2% 4.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Stanley Galloway 4.0% 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 6.3% 6.7% 8.1% 10.4% 12.6% 13.8% 12.4% 8.2% 3.1%
Alec Wyers 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 5.8% 8.3% 11.4% 14.9% 16.7% 15.0% 6.3%
Kristin Hess 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.3% 5.3% 6.8% 9.3% 13.2% 18.6% 19.4% 9.8%
Stephen Blair 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 4.2% 4.9% 9.2% 18.0% 54.0%
Elliot Tindall 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 5.2% 7.0% 10.2% 15.2% 25.4% 23.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.