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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+4.21vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+7.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.31vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+1.36vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+1.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+2.73vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.86vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+0.67vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83+3.16vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-3.47vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.39vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+2.05vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-4.94vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-5.08vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-6.04vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.61-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.22-0.56vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.07-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.0Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.36Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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11.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.67Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.16Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.53Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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14.05University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.92Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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13.03Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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16.44University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 13.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lily Katz | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 25.9% | 13.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 8.7% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 14.1% | 61.1% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.