Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Leopold Brandl 13.5% 12.1% 13.6% 13.2% 12.0% 9.8% 8.8% 7.6% 5.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 15.7% 15.1% 14.0% 13.2% 11.1% 9.6% 7.8% 6.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 11.2% 11.3% 10.2% 10.8% 11.3% 11.6% 10.7% 8.1% 8.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Daniel Hodges 7.2% 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 9.9% 10.3% 11.1% 11.1% 10.5% 8.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.8% 4.7% 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 8.6% 9.3% 10.4% 11.3% 14.1% 10.5% 6.2% 1.1%
Owen Ward 6.9% 8.6% 8.0% 10.0% 8.8% 9.6% 11.2% 11.9% 10.3% 7.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Connor Mraz 13.7% 12.7% 14.3% 11.8% 11.2% 10.5% 9.3% 7.6% 5.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Kristin Hess 2.2% 3.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 5.6% 7.5% 9.5% 13.0% 17.9% 18.5% 9.8%
Stewart Gurnell 17.7% 15.7% 14.5% 12.6% 11.4% 9.3% 7.3% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 3.5% 4.8% 4.2% 5.6% 6.9% 7.0% 8.1% 9.7% 11.5% 13.5% 13.5% 9.3% 2.8%
Alec Wyers 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.5% 5.9% 6.4% 7.2% 10.2% 15.8% 19.4% 14.1% 6.0%
Elliot Tindall 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 4.7% 6.0% 9.7% 15.3% 27.3% 23.6%
Stephen Blair 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 4.1% 5.2% 8.2% 18.6% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.