← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.83+5.33vs Predicted
-
2Washington College1.66+2.12vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.28+1.54vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University1.87+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University1.47-0.58vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.32vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.72-1.76vs Predicted
-
80.66-1.90vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary0.12-1.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Pittsburgh0.07-2.14vs Predicted
-
11Syracuse University-0.37-2.13vs Predicted
-
12American University-1.84-0.39vs Predicted
-
13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.33Christopher Newport University0.836.7%1st Place
-
4.12Washington College1.6618.6%1st Place
-
4.54Columbia University1.2814.1%1st Place
-
4.51Princeton University1.8714.2%1st Place
-
4.42Hampton University1.4714.8%1st Place
-
9.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.0%1st Place
-
5.24Virginia Tech0.7211.0%1st Place
-
6.10.666.3%1st Place
-
7.53William and Mary0.124.2%1st Place
-
7.86University of Pittsburgh0.073.4%1st Place
-
8.87Syracuse University-0.373.1%1st Place
-
11.61American University-1.840.4%1st Place
-
10.56Rochester Institute of Technology-1.071.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 9.2% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Alec Wyers | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 6.9% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 54.9% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 27.1% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.