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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.73+7.93vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+6.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.08vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+6.76vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+2.82vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+2.30vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.83+4.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.28vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67-0.71vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-3.93vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-5.31vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.61-0.16vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.63-8.73vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.31-4.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.74vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-3.04vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.22-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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11.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.84Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.27Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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16.3University of Miami0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 4.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 9.2% |
| Lily Katz | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 15.0% |
| Alexandra Damley-Strnad | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.