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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.83+5.29vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28+2.58vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+1.13vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.72+1.32vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07+1.87vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.47-2.62vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.12-0.41vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.46vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.37-1.18vs Predicted
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110.66-5.04vs Predicted
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12American University-1.84-0.41vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Christopher Newport University0.837.2%1st Place
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4.58Columbia University1.2814.8%1st Place
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4.13Washington College1.6616.4%1st Place
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5.32Virginia Tech0.7210.7%1st Place
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4.45Princeton University1.8714.5%1st Place
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7.87University of Pittsburgh0.073.8%1st Place
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4.38Hampton University1.4714.2%1st Place
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7.59William and Mary0.124.3%1st Place
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9.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.8%1st Place
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8.82Syracuse University-0.372.8%1st Place
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5.960.667.7%1st Place
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11.59American University-1.840.7%1st Place
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10.56Rochester Institute of Technology-1.071.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Hodges | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Leopold Brandl | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Stewart Gurnell | 16.4% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Christopher Magno | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Connor Mraz | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Stanley Galloway | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Constantyn van der Voort | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Kristin Hess | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 10.1% |
Alec Wyers | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 6.5% |
Owen Ward | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Stephen Blair | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 53.7% |
Elliot Tindall | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 26.4% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.