← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.20+6.39vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.63+3.69vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.87+5.62vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.38+2.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin1.34+9.08vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.74vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.74-1.81vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.67+1.08vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.61+0.45vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.41vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.74-1.87vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.31vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.83-0.54vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.61-0.98vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.31-4.37vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.97vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.73-7.91vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami1.70-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.39College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.69Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.62Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
6.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
14.08University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.19Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.08George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
9.45Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
12.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
9.13Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
12.46Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
13.02Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
-
10.63University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
-
9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.09Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
-
12.89University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lily Katz | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 29.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.