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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Daniel Hodges 7.2% 7.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.8% 10.0% 10.2% 11.3% 9.8% 10.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Leopold Brandl 14.8% 12.7% 12.6% 11.6% 12.6% 11.2% 8.5% 6.8% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 16.4% 16.1% 13.7% 13.8% 10.9% 10.2% 7.8% 4.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 10.7% 9.6% 10.9% 10.5% 11.6% 10.7% 11.0% 9.6% 7.0% 4.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.5% 14.4% 14.1% 11.1% 11.8% 10.9% 9.2% 5.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Stanley Galloway 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 6.0% 5.8% 6.8% 8.9% 10.4% 12.7% 12.1% 13.1% 9.0% 2.6%
Valerio Palamara 14.2% 14.6% 13.8% 13.0% 11.4% 10.5% 8.9% 7.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.3% 3.8% 5.8% 6.7% 6.9% 6.7% 8.0% 11.2% 13.6% 12.8% 12.4% 6.0% 1.8%
Kristin Hess 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 3.2% 3.4% 4.1% 5.7% 6.5% 9.2% 13.9% 17.6% 20.2% 10.1%
Alec Wyers 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.8% 8.7% 11.2% 14.6% 16.2% 14.5% 6.5%
Owen Ward 7.7% 9.2% 8.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.3% 10.3% 10.9% 9.2% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Stephen Blair 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.9% 9.4% 18.6% 53.7%
Elliot Tindall 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 4.7% 6.8% 10.1% 14.5% 26.4% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.