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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+3.28vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28+2.61vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+1.58vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.12+3.41vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.66-0.71vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.72-0.68vs Predicted
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70.66-0.93vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh0.07-1.23vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.37-1.23vs Predicted
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11American University-1.84+0.64vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-1.50vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.83-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Hampton University1.4715.2%1st Place
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4.61Columbia University1.2813.0%1st Place
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4.58Princeton University1.8714.1%1st Place
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7.41William and Mary0.125.5%1st Place
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4.29Washington College1.6616.1%1st Place
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5.32Virginia Tech0.7210.5%1st Place
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6.070.667.2%1st Place
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9.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.8%1st Place
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7.77University of Pittsburgh0.074.2%1st Place
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8.77Syracuse University-0.372.5%1st Place
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11.64American University-1.840.8%1st Place
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10.5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.071.1%1st Place
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6.31Christopher Newport University0.837.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leopold Brandl | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 9.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 56.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 26.0% | 23.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.