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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.57vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.37vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+1.51vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+3.34vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.34+7.17vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+0.84vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+0.43vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.02vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.70-0.17vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-5.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.47vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-6.93vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.61-3.51vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.31-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.51Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.17University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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8.93George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.53Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.07Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.49Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 12.4% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 26.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 10.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 14.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 22.2% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.