Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 14.1% 13.4% 14.3% 12.2% 12.8% 10.2% 8.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.1% 15.8% 14.1% 11.2% 11.8% 9.8% 8.9% 5.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 3.7% 4.1% 4.2% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 9.1% 10.3% 12.9% 14.3% 13.4% 8.0% 2.8%
Owen Ward 8.6% 6.9% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 11.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.2% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 15.2% 14.7% 13.3% 13.2% 10.7% 10.1% 8.6% 6.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Daniel Hodges 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 7.8% 10.0% 9.6% 10.9% 11.6% 9.8% 8.3% 5.9% 3.0% 0.4%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.2% 5.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6.8% 8.8% 8.1% 11.2% 12.2% 12.8% 9.8% 6.9% 1.6%
Leopold Brandl 14.1% 12.9% 11.8% 13.0% 11.6% 10.7% 8.0% 7.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Alec Wyers 2.4% 3.3% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 8.5% 11.2% 14.2% 16.4% 15.7% 7.3%
Christopher Magno 10.3% 10.7% 12.4% 11.8% 10.5% 11.6% 10.2% 9.2% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Kristin Hess 1.8% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 9.6% 13.7% 18.7% 17.6% 11.2%
Stephen Blair 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 4.9% 9.5% 19.2% 53.6%
Elliot Tindall 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 4.3% 6.3% 10.3% 15.8% 26.0% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.