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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.07+6.77vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28+2.55vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73+2.83vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+0.61vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.47-0.72vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.66-1.88vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.83-0.86vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+1.47vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.12-1.58vs Predicted
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100.66-4.02vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.37-2.22vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-1.57vs Predicted
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13American University-1.84-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77University of Pittsburgh0.074.7%1st Place
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4.55Columbia University1.2814.6%1st Place
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5.83Virginia Tech0.738.5%1st Place
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4.61Princeton University1.8712.3%1st Place
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4.28Hampton University1.4715.7%1st Place
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4.12Washington College1.6616.2%1st Place
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6.14Christopher Newport University0.837.5%1st Place
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9.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.0%1st Place
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7.42William and Mary0.125.3%1st Place
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5.980.668.3%1st Place
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8.78Syracuse University-0.372.9%1st Place
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10.43Rochester Institute of Technology-1.071.5%1st Place
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11.63American University-1.840.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Stanley Galloway | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
Leopold Brandl | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Aidan Young | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Connor Mraz | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Valerio Palamara | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Stewart Gurnell | 16.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daniel Hodges | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Kristin Hess | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 10.2% |
Constantyn van der Voort | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
Owen Ward | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Alec Wyers | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 6.1% |
Elliot Tindall | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 28.1% | 22.4% |
Stephen Blair | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 17.4% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.