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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+8.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.17vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+6.25vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-0.60vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.73+0.86vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.31+0.94vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-1.39vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.61+1.59vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83-0.65vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.63-8.59vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.70-1.99vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-7.50vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-7.94vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.34-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.33College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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12.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.4Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.86Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.94University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.59Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.41Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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14.04University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.6% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 22.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Lily Katz | 12.6% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.