Race 10A

grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 16.9% 16.1% 14.8% 13.1% 11.8% 8.7% 6.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.2% 14.4% 12.8% 11.9% 11.7% 9.8% 9.1% 6.7% 5.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Leopold Brandl 13.1% 14.0% 13.7% 12.5% 11.9% 10.2% 9.1% 7.0% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Owen Ward 8.2% 8.3% 9.9% 9.4% 9.6% 11.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 8.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Daniel Hodges 7.0% 7.7% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 9.6% 11.3% 11.9% 10.0% 10.3% 5.6% 2.0% 0.3%
Kristin Hess 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 4.6% 6.0% 6.9% 8.9% 11.5% 17.2% 19.4% 11.5%
Aidan Young 8.6% 9.4% 9.3% 10.2% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 11.4% 9.8% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 6.7% 6.0% 7.3% 10.0% 10.8% 11.9% 13.5% 10.6% 7.1% 1.6%
Alec Wyers 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 8.0% 11.3% 14.0% 16.6% 15.0% 6.7%
Stanley Galloway 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 5.4% 6.7% 7.6% 8.4% 9.6% 12.2% 13.5% 14.2% 7.9% 1.7%
Elliot Tindall 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.2% 6.5% 8.5% 16.0% 27.6% 23.2%
Stephen Blair 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 5.2% 8.6% 17.4% 54.8%
Valerio Palamara 17.4% 14.2% 12.7% 12.4% 12.4% 11.5% 7.8% 5.8% 3.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.