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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.79vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.43vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+5.84vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+5.07vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+7.31vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.12+5.66vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.47vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+0.67vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-4.13vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.70+2.28vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+1.06vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.61+0.34vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.31-3.46vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-5.69vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.76vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.74-7.77vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.74-12.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.07Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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12.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.87Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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13.28University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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13.06Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.34Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.23Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% |
| Kate Klement | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Lily Katz | 12.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 20.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 18.5% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 21.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.