Race 8A

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Barry 9.4% 9.3% 10.7% 9.9% 9.8% 7.4% 9.4% 8.4% 7.9% 6.9% 5.2% 3.1% 2.6%
Maggie Shea 8.4% 9.2% 7.3% 10.4% 10.3% 7.1% 8.7% 9.5% 8.3% 7.0% 6.4% 4.4% 3.0%
Sarah Lihan 6.3% 7.5% 8.3% 9.0% 8.4% 8.9% 7.9% 8.0% 9.7% 8.9% 7.4% 5.5% 4.2%
Emily Lambert 8.3% 8.3% 9.7% 9.3% 8.6% 8.1% 9.3% 8.0% 7.3% 9.9% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1%
Amy Hawkins 11.3% 11.8% 11.8% 9.5% 9.1% 9.6% 7.8% 8.6% 6.1% 5.9% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
Krysta Rohde 7.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.3% 7.3% 9.0% 6.2% 8.4% 10.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.7% 6.7%
Katii Gullick 5.4% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 8.4% 6.7% 9.0% 11.9% 13.7% 13.0%
Caroline Wilhelm 3.2% 4.4% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 5.4% 5.6% 5.6% 9.1% 8.6% 11.7% 14.5% 19.6%
Anne Haeger 18.8% 16.0% 14.0% 12.2% 9.2% 8.7% 7.6% 4.6% 3.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Kimberly Kaull 5.0% 4.1% 3.8% 3.9% 6.2% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 8.4% 9.0% 9.9% 13.3% 16.0%
Catherine Swanson 6.1% 5.4% 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 8.5% 9.6% 8.8% 8.0% 8.9% 8.4% 8.5% 6.0%
Charlotte Williamson 3.3% 3.3% 2.3% 5.0% 3.8% 6.0% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 11.0% 14.8% 23.8%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 7.5% 11.1% 8.9% 8.0% 9.8% 9.5% 9.1% 8.3% 7.8% 6.9% 6.9% 4.6% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.