Race 11A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 14.8% 14.4% 15.0% 12.4% 11.6% 9.8% 9.0% 6.2% 3.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 15.0% 13.9% 13.1% 12.4% 11.7% 11.4% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 17.0% 16.5% 13.5% 12.9% 12.6% 9.7% 7.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 8.3% 9.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.6% 10.8% 11.7% 10.2% 8.9% 5.2% 2.2% 0.2%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.8% 3.9% 5.6% 6.7% 7.7% 7.2% 10.0% 10.9% 12.2% 12.2% 10.5% 7.0% 1.2%
Aidan Young 7.3% 9.2% 10.3% 9.7% 10.4% 11.1% 10.2% 10.6% 9.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Leopold Brandl 13.4% 14.1% 12.5% 12.8% 11.3% 10.4% 9.4% 7.1% 5.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 2.9% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 4.8% 4.5% 5.6% 8.6% 12.5% 20.2% 19.9% 10.3%
Alec Wyers 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 5.1% 4.7% 5.5% 8.8% 11.8% 14.3% 17.1% 14.0% 6.7%
Stanley Galloway 3.7% 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.0% 7.8% 9.2% 9.7% 12.4% 14.3% 13.2% 8.2% 2.2%
Elliot Tindall 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 4.7% 6.4% 11.6% 13.2% 27.6% 22.1%
Stephen Blair 0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 5.4% 8.6% 16.4% 56.6%
Owen Ward 8.6% 7.1% 9.9% 9.7% 10.1% 10.3% 10.8% 10.5% 9.0% 7.3% 4.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.