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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+6.40vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.70+11.41vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+6.87vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+4.98vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+7.22vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+2.52vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.12+4.53vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.07+3.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.04vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-4.56vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83+1.79vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-5.13vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.61+0.28vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.63-8.56vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-5.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.48vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.74-7.84vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.98Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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12.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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11.66University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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5.44Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.28Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.44Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.16Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 18.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 20.4% |
| Lily Katz | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.