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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.01vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+6.85vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+3.14vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63+0.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-0.46vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.73+0.99vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.12+1.79vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-1.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.66vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.61+0.25vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-4.98vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.32vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.07-4.22vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-7.80vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.70-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.85Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.59Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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5.26Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.99Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.19Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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13.25Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.02George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.68Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lily Katz | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.7% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 22.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 13.9% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.