Race 12A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 13.4% 14.5% 13.6% 12.7% 10.8% 11.2% 8.0% 7.0% 4.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Leopold Brandl 12.9% 13.7% 13.7% 12.0% 11.3% 10.8% 9.2% 7.3% 4.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 16.4% 13.9% 14.0% 11.7% 11.8% 9.7% 9.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Aidan Young 9.7% 7.8% 10.5% 10.1% 9.5% 10.1% 10.4% 11.2% 9.2% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Stewart Gurnell 16.8% 16.7% 14.3% 13.0% 11.2% 10.4% 7.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 4.3% 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.2% 8.8% 9.3% 10.0% 11.4% 13.2% 12.2% 7.8% 2.4%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.5% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.8% 9.9% 11.5% 12.2% 13.3% 7.4% 2.1%
Owen Ward 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 10.4% 11.3% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 10.2% 7.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Daniel Hodges 6.8% 8.4% 7.9% 8.6% 8.8% 9.7% 10.9% 11.0% 11.5% 9.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.8%
Alec Wyers 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 6.3% 8.8% 10.3% 15.4% 18.6% 13.7% 6.0%
Kristin Hess 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 3.3% 4.5% 6.8% 9.3% 13.6% 18.1% 19.7% 10.1%
Elliot Tindall 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.3% 6.0% 9.2% 14.8% 28.0% 22.1%
Stephen Blair 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 7.0% 17.5% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.