Race 13A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Owen Ward 8.6% 7.7% 8.9% 10.2% 8.6% 10.8% 11.2% 11.5% 9.2% 6.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.2%
Stewart Gurnell 17.0% 15.3% 14.4% 12.7% 11.1% 10.3% 7.3% 5.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 14.7% 13.8% 13.2% 11.6% 11.3% 10.7% 8.6% 7.4% 4.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 14.4% 15.9% 14.5% 14.3% 11.2% 9.2% 7.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 5.3% 5.5% 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 7.3% 8.9% 10.2% 12.8% 12.0% 11.5% 6.3% 1.5%
Leopold Brandl 13.1% 12.8% 12.2% 12.8% 12.4% 10.6% 9.8% 6.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Alec Wyers 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 6.3% 8.4% 11.9% 13.8% 16.5% 14.7% 5.7%
Aidan Young 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.5% 10.4% 11.0% 10.0% 9.6% 6.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Stanley Galloway 4.2% 5.1% 4.7% 5.8% 7.4% 7.5% 6.9% 8.8% 11.6% 14.0% 12.4% 9.2% 2.4%
Elliot Tindall 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 5.8% 9.8% 16.1% 26.6% 23.8%
Kristin Hess 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 5.7% 7.4% 8.6% 13.8% 17.0% 19.8% 9.6%
Stephen Blair 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.5% 5.8% 9.0% 16.2% 56.0%
Daniel Hodges 7.8% 7.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.1% 11.3% 11.6% 10.7% 7.5% 5.6% 3.0% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.