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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+4.43vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.63vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+1.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.49vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+3.60vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+2.01vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67+1.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83+3.73vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.12+1.77vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-2.33vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-4.50vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.73-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.07-2.54vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.61-1.57vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.70-2.78vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.49vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-9.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.56Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.01Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.97Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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13.43Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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12.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Lily Katz | 13.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% |
| Kate Klement | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 22.6% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 20.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.4% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.