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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.87+3.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+4.28vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.12+4.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+5.32vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.28-0.57vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.47-1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.07+0.89vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66-3.88vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.37-0.17vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.73-4.22vs Predicted
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110.66-5.03vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-1.60vs Predicted
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13American University-1.84-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Princeton University1.8713.9%1st Place
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6.28Christopher Newport University0.837.8%1st Place
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7.53William and Mary0.123.9%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.9%1st Place
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4.43Columbia University1.2815.5%1st Place
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4.28Hampton University1.4715.4%1st Place
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7.89University of Pittsburgh0.073.6%1st Place
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4.12Washington College1.6616.6%1st Place
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8.83Syracuse University-0.372.7%1st Place
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5.78Virginia Tech0.738.2%1st Place
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5.970.668.3%1st Place
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10.4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.071.5%1st Place
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11.64American University-1.840.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor Mraz | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Daniel Hodges | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
Constantyn van der Voort | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
Kristin Hess | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 9.2% |
Leopold Brandl | 15.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Valerio Palamara | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Stanley Galloway | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
Stewart Gurnell | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Alec Wyers | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 6.2% |
Aidan Young | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Owen Ward | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Elliot Tindall | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 26.6% | 23.4% |
Stephen Blair | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 17.9% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.