Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 13.3% 14.3% 14.2% 12.4% 10.5% 10.2% 8.3% 7.4% 4.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Reid Shanabrook 18.9% 17.1% 15.5% 12.8% 11.2% 7.8% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 12.6% 11.5% 13.1% 11.1% 12.3% 11.0% 8.9% 7.4% 6.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Luke Hayes 7.4% 8.6% 8.1% 9.2% 11.0% 9.2% 11.2% 10.9% 9.4% 7.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Nathan Whisner 12.8% 10.0% 9.1% 11.8% 10.9% 11.7% 8.8% 8.8% 7.5% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Alex Heim 11.1% 11.8% 11.7% 10.7% 9.4% 10.6% 10.4% 8.5% 7.0% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Ryan Magill 3.0% 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 5.2% 5.6% 7.2% 9.7% 10.9% 13.8% 16.9% 11.7% 4.4%
Ava Rotondo 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 3.6% 4.3% 4.8% 8.0% 11.8% 19.4% 22.8% 12.6%
Karl Wagerson 5.7% 6.7% 7.2% 8.2% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 9.3% 10.7% 11.6% 9.7% 4.2% 0.9%
Shay Gualdoni 5.8% 6.8% 5.9% 8.1% 7.8% 8.6% 10.7% 9.7% 12.0% 10.7% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4%
Jack Murray 5.3% 5.8% 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 9.7% 11.7% 11.5% 12.8% 8.8% 5.3% 1.4%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 6.0% 8.8% 20.0% 50.6%
Benjamin Knisely 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 7.8% 14.6% 27.5% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.