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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.64vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+6.35vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.14+1.01vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.59+1.90vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84-0.18vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.69-0.75vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.11+0.21vs Predicted
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8American University0.05-1.23vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.01-2.11vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-1.09-0.31vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.55-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.08-0.54vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.51-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Hampton University0.7213.2%1st Place
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8.35SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.4%1st Place
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4.01Virginia Tech1.1418.4%1st Place
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5.9Christopher Newport University0.598.3%1st Place
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4.82Princeton University0.8414.2%1st Place
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5.25Washington College0.6910.0%1st Place
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7.21Villanova University-0.115.8%1st Place
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6.77American University0.056.3%1st Place
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6.89Syracuse University0.015.9%1st Place
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9.69Columbia University-1.091.8%1st Place
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10.7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.551.3%1st Place
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11.46University of Pittsburgh-2.080.9%1st Place
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5.31William and Mary0.5110.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 4.6% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 18.4% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Asher Green | 14.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Heim | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murray | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Karl Wagerson | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Ava Rotondo | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 13.5% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 27.3% | 27.2% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 19.8% | 50.7% |
| Nathan Whisner | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.