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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+8.62vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+7.38vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+6.14vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.70+7.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+2.92vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.61+6.28vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.63-2.47vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.15vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-1.30vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+2.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.81vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-9.01vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.62vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-7.05vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.07-5.33vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-11.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.14Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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13.28Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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14.37University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.99Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| Lily Katz | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 31.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.