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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63+2.66vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+3.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.21vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.70+5.94vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+1.30vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73-0.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-3.36vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+0.78vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-4.22vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.34-0.89vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.61-2.66vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.07-5.34vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.91Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.85Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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14.11University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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13.34Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.66University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lily Katz | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.8% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 14.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.8% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 26.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 18.7% |
| Charlie Bess | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.