Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Luke Hayes 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 9.2% 10.6% 10.5% 9.9% 10.2% 9.2% 7.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Alex Heim 13.4% 10.1% 11.3% 10.3% 11.1% 9.2% 10.4% 9.1% 7.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Asher Green 12.9% 12.3% 13.0% 12.0% 11.5% 10.1% 8.9% 7.1% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 13.2% 13.6% 13.8% 13.2% 10.9% 9.6% 9.0% 5.7% 5.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Magill 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.5% 9.0% 10.8% 14.9% 16.0% 13.2% 4.2%
Reid Shanabrook 17.5% 17.4% 14.8% 13.8% 10.3% 8.6% 6.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Whisner 10.1% 10.7% 11.4% 10.2% 10.7% 11.2% 9.6% 9.5% 7.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Shay Gualdoni 5.9% 7.3% 5.9% 7.6% 8.3% 9.8% 10.0% 10.5% 11.5% 10.1% 7.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Karl Wagerson 5.9% 6.0% 6.3% 6.9% 9.0% 8.2% 10.0% 11.1% 11.6% 11.9% 8.2% 3.9% 1.2%
Benjamin Knisely 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 7.4% 14.8% 26.9% 28.3%
Jack Murray 5.2% 5.4% 6.0% 7.0% 7.2% 9.0% 8.7% 10.4% 11.7% 13.0% 9.6% 5.5% 1.1%
Ava Rotondo 2.2% 2.9% 2.4% 2.9% 2.7% 3.6% 4.8% 5.5% 7.0% 11.3% 19.6% 22.6% 12.3%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 5.6% 10.4% 19.6% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.