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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+8.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+7.14vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.19vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.70+6.89vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+0.02vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+0.82vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83+3.52vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.34+4.27vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.07+0.67vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-2.72vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.63-7.55vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.15vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.61-1.77vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-6.44vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-10.39vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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12.89University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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7.02College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.52Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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13.23Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.56Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.19Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.6% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 30.5% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Lily Katz | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 18.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.