Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Heim 11.6% 12.8% 11.8% 10.9% 11.5% 9.3% 9.7% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Luke Hayes 8.0% 8.5% 9.2% 9.0% 10.4% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 10.4% 6.5% 5.1% 2.5% 0.3%
Stefano Palamara 13.8% 14.9% 11.3% 13.0% 10.7% 10.5% 8.8% 6.4% 4.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Reid Shanabrook 17.5% 17.4% 14.9% 13.0% 10.0% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 13.8% 12.3% 13.3% 11.9% 10.7% 9.6% 8.8% 7.7% 6.0% 2.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Karl Wagerson 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.4% 9.3% 10.6% 12.2% 11.3% 7.4% 4.2% 1.1%
Shay Gualdoni 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 7.2% 9.0% 10.0% 10.5% 10.7% 8.8% 11.4% 8.4% 3.9% 1.1%
Ryan Magill 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.1% 4.3% 6.2% 7.3% 9.2% 11.6% 14.5% 14.5% 12.3% 4.7%
Jack Murray 6.6% 4.7% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.7% 11.0% 13.9% 11.7% 4.8% 1.6%
Benjamin Knisely 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 4.3% 5.5% 8.1% 15.4% 25.9% 27.0%
Jasmine Chen 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.7% 2.9% 4.4% 4.8% 9.0% 13.1% 18.5% 23.4% 12.2%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 5.3% 8.6% 19.9% 51.7%
Nathan Whisner 10.8% 9.4% 10.9% 10.9% 11.2% 11.2% 10.4% 9.4% 7.2% 4.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.