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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+8.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.23vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+8.05vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+3.82vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.84vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-1.47vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67+1.06vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+0.39vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-3.36vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-2.51vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-2.68vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.34+0.99vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.70-1.33vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.48vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-3.41vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.61-3.60vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.07-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.23College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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12.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.39Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.32Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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13.99University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.4Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.39University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Dunphy | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 27.8% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 20.7% |
| Charlie Bess | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.