Race 1A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 13.3% 12.1% 11.0% 12.8% 13.9% 10.6% 10.0% 6.2% 4.6% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Duncan Howes 7.3% 8.4% 9.8% 10.3% 10.7% 10.3% 11.3% 11.2% 9.5% 6.4% 3.6% 1.2%
Maxwell Simmons 12.9% 12.3% 12.5% 10.9% 10.5% 11.7% 10.1% 9.2% 5.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Peter Edmunds 8.2% 9.7% 10.4% 10.5% 12.0% 10.9% 12.1% 8.5% 8.0% 5.7% 2.8% 1.2%
Scott Goodrich 6.9% 8.7% 9.4% 9.0% 11.3% 9.2% 9.9% 11.5% 9.8% 7.2% 5.2% 1.9%
Patrick Penwell 4.6% 4.3% 6.5% 6.6% 6.2% 7.6% 9.2% 10.3% 14.8% 14.1% 10.4% 5.4%
Duncan Swain 22.4% 17.0% 13.7% 13.8% 11.0% 8.8% 5.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Terry Duncan 1.5% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 2.7% 4.3% 5.3% 7.9% 9.0% 14.0% 19.7% 26.3%
Robert Floyd 15.2% 15.8% 16.3% 12.5% 9.7% 11.1% 8.0% 6.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Edward Moan 2.2% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 4.9% 6.9% 11.4% 12.8% 20.3% 26.7%
William Dykes 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 4.5% 6.4% 8.8% 15.4% 20.4% 27.7%
Sarah Fuller 3.7% 3.8% 3.0% 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 9.1% 11.0% 13.3% 16.3% 13.6% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.