Race 6B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Luke Hayes 8.8% 8.1% 9.1% 9.5% 9.4% 9.2% 11.5% 9.3% 9.6% 8.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Stefano Palamara 14.2% 14.4% 12.6% 11.4% 11.9% 10.1% 8.6% 7.3% 5.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Asher Green 12.3% 12.9% 12.0% 12.7% 11.8% 10.4% 8.9% 7.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Reid Shanabrook 17.9% 15.4% 15.2% 13.0% 11.6% 7.9% 7.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Heim 11.2% 11.8% 12.2% 11.1% 9.6% 10.9% 10.0% 8.6% 6.9% 4.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Ryan Magill 3.1% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 9.7% 14.5% 15.8% 12.4% 4.7%
Nathan Whisner 11.3% 11.1% 10.6% 10.3% 11.2% 9.7% 9.7% 8.8% 8.8% 4.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Karl Wagerson 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.9% 10.5% 9.1% 10.9% 10.5% 8.5% 4.0% 0.8%
Shay Gualdoni 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 7.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.4% 11.8% 10.9% 12.2% 9.0% 3.0% 1.1%
Benjamin Knisely 1.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 4.0% 5.5% 8.3% 14.8% 28.6% 27.2%
Jack Murray 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 8.2% 9.0% 7.8% 10.1% 11.3% 12.7% 9.3% 5.9% 1.8%
Jasmine Chen 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 2.8% 2.7% 4.2% 4.9% 6.3% 8.4% 11.7% 18.1% 22.8% 11.9%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 10.1% 19.4% 51.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.