Race 9A

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sarah Lihan 7.4% 7.1% 9.2% 8.3% 7.7% 7.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.7% 7.5% 7.7% 6.4% 3.6%
Maggie Shea 8.1% 9.2% 9.6% 8.3% 8.4% 9.0% 9.4% 8.2% 7.5% 9.2% 5.5% 5.2% 2.4%
Anne Haeger 18.0% 17.1% 12.2% 12.8% 10.4% 9.3% 6.8% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Emily Lambert 9.3% 7.7% 8.6% 10.8% 8.2% 7.7% 9.5% 9.1% 8.2% 6.6% 5.8% 5.7% 2.8%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 9.3% 11.3% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 6.3% 8.5% 10.3% 7.4% 7.1% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1%
Amy Hawkins 10.6% 10.6% 11.9% 11.5% 10.1% 9.2% 8.3% 7.1% 5.7% 5.9% 4.6% 3.4% 1.1%
Elizabeth Barry 11.0% 9.3% 11.0% 7.8% 8.7% 10.5% 9.2% 6.5% 8.4% 6.0% 6.1% 3.8% 1.7%
Catherine Swanson 5.6% 7.0% 5.5% 7.0% 7.1% 9.0% 7.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.7% 9.0% 8.8% 6.5%
Kimberly Kaull 4.3% 4.3% 4.1% 3.6% 6.7% 5.4% 5.6% 8.6% 8.3% 9.8% 10.1% 12.5% 16.7%
Krysta Rohde 6.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.6% 7.6% 7.0% 8.2% 9.1% 8.1% 8.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.2%
Caroline Wilhelm 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 6.1% 7.0% 4.8% 8.6% 9.1% 12.3% 13.3% 17.8%
Katii Gullick 3.7% 4.1% 4.6% 4.8% 6.1% 7.2% 5.0% 7.5% 7.7% 9.4% 10.7% 13.4% 15.8%
Charlotte Williamson 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 8.7% 11.9% 14.7% 22.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.