Race 2A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Floyd 14.6% 13.7% 12.6% 15.0% 11.1% 11.3% 8.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.4%
Duncan Howes 7.1% 10.1% 9.2% 8.8% 10.9% 10.4% 11.1% 11.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.9% 1.0%
Maxwell Simmons 13.3% 11.0% 12.7% 11.4% 12.5% 10.0% 10.5% 9.7% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Bryce Kopp 12.5% 13.5% 12.8% 13.3% 11.3% 11.1% 7.9% 7.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Peter Edmunds 9.0% 9.5% 11.7% 10.8% 10.3% 10.8% 10.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.4%
Duncan Swain 20.4% 17.7% 15.8% 11.8% 10.7% 9.5% 6.5% 3.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Edward Moan 2.2% 2.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 3.7% 6.1% 7.7% 9.4% 14.1% 19.8% 26.0%
Patrick Penwell 5.3% 5.4% 4.4% 8.5% 6.0% 7.4% 9.5% 11.4% 13.0% 14.1% 10.2% 4.8%
Scott Goodrich 7.1% 7.8% 10.9% 8.7% 10.4% 11.3% 10.3% 12.5% 9.9% 7.1% 2.9% 1.1%
Sarah Fuller 4.7% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8% 6.7% 7.3% 8.2% 8.5% 14.2% 14.4% 13.4% 10.9%
Terry Duncan 2.1% 1.9% 1.4% 2.6% 3.7% 4.4% 5.8% 4.9% 9.1% 15.8% 21.7% 26.6%
William Dykes 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 5.4% 7.8% 10.7% 13.0% 20.9% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.