Race 7B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Heim 10.2% 11.6% 12.5% 10.7% 10.7% 11.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Luke Hayes 8.2% 8.2% 7.6% 9.6% 10.3% 11.2% 11.0% 10.5% 8.8% 7.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.4%
Karl Wagerson 5.3% 7.0% 7.9% 6.8% 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 11.2% 11.7% 10.4% 7.8% 4.3% 1.0%
Stefano Palamara 14.6% 13.0% 13.2% 12.6% 11.4% 9.8% 8.8% 6.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Nathan Whisner 11.3% 10.8% 10.1% 10.2% 10.9% 9.8% 10.6% 8.2% 8.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Jack Murray 5.2% 5.9% 5.9% 7.2% 6.8% 8.0% 8.3% 10.9% 10.8% 11.9% 11.6% 5.9% 1.6%
Asher Green 14.8% 12.8% 11.5% 12.2% 11.9% 9.2% 8.6% 7.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Ryan Magill 2.5% 2.9% 5.1% 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% 7.6% 8.6% 10.8% 13.2% 16.7% 12.3% 4.8%
Reid Shanabrook 18.6% 17.6% 14.3% 12.6% 10.5% 9.2% 6.6% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 5.8% 5.7% 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 8.9% 9.3% 11.2% 10.9% 12.3% 9.0% 4.0% 1.1%
Benjamin Knisely 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 4.1% 6.3% 8.3% 13.2% 28.0% 27.4%
Ava Rotondo 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 12.7% 19.1% 20.5% 11.7%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 5.0% 9.6% 20.1% 51.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.