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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.66vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.14+1.96vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.69+2.07vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84+0.82vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.51+0.28vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+2.42vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.59-1.07vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-0.11-0.83vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.01-2.00vs Predicted
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10American University0.05-3.18vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-1.09-1.22vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.55-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.08-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Hampton University0.7213.9%1st Place
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3.96Virginia Tech1.1419.8%1st Place
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5.07Washington College0.6911.5%1st Place
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4.82Princeton University0.8412.8%1st Place
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5.28William and Mary0.5110.7%1st Place
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8.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.0%1st Place
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5.93Christopher Newport University0.597.8%1st Place
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7.17Villanova University-0.115.0%1st Place
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7.0Syracuse University0.015.3%1st Place
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6.82American University0.056.3%1st Place
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9.78Columbia University-1.092.1%1st Place
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10.57Rochester Institute of Technology-1.551.4%1st Place
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11.52University of Pittsburgh-2.080.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 19.8% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Asher Green | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Whisner | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Luke Hayes | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Murray | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Karl Wagerson | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ava Rotondo | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 14.5% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 27.2% | 25.9% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 20.4% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.