Race 3A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Howes 8.3% 6.9% 9.5% 11.3% 9.1% 10.5% 12.1% 10.9% 9.2% 7.1% 3.2% 1.9%
Patrick Penwell 4.2% 4.8% 5.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.3% 9.3% 10.5% 13.2% 13.0% 12.3% 5.1%
Peter Edmunds 9.5% 9.0% 10.1% 11.2% 10.1% 11.5% 10.2% 11.4% 8.3% 5.8% 2.1% 0.8%
Maxwell Simmons 11.8% 13.1% 13.4% 12.4% 12.0% 11.1% 8.6% 6.8% 5.7% 4.0% 0.7% 0.4%
Duncan Swain 20.2% 18.0% 16.1% 11.6% 11.5% 8.2% 6.0% 3.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 7.2% 8.5% 8.1% 9.0% 8.3% 12.9% 12.2% 10.4% 10.5% 6.2% 5.4% 1.3%
Bryce Kopp 13.5% 13.6% 13.3% 12.7% 11.6% 9.7% 8.5% 7.9% 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.6%
Robert Floyd 16.8% 15.6% 12.7% 12.5% 11.1% 9.6% 8.9% 6.4% 2.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Sarah Fuller 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 4.9% 7.9% 7.2% 9.9% 10.4% 11.6% 15.5% 14.0% 8.0%
William Dykes 2.1% 3.1% 2.9% 2.2% 3.5% 3.3% 5.3% 7.4% 11.3% 13.6% 20.5% 24.8%
Terry Duncan 2.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 3.9% 4.5% 4.4% 7.4% 8.9% 15.6% 19.9% 27.4%
Edward Moan 1.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.9% 3.5% 4.2% 4.6% 6.6% 10.6% 12.9% 19.8% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.