Race 10B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Heim 11.9% 13.2% 12.5% 11.4% 10.4% 9.4% 11.5% 7.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Asher Green 12.2% 11.9% 14.4% 14.3% 12.0% 10.1% 9.6% 7.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Whisner 11.3% 11.3% 10.9% 11.9% 11.8% 11.9% 10.5% 8.5% 6.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 20.1% 17.0% 15.2% 13.5% 11.6% 8.6% 6.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Murray 6.4% 6.3% 6.0% 6.8% 8.9% 9.6% 10.1% 13.0% 11.8% 11.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Luke Hayes 9.3% 9.8% 10.1% 10.1% 10.2% 11.5% 11.2% 9.6% 9.4% 5.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Ryan Magill 4.1% 3.6% 4.4% 5.0% 4.8% 6.5% 8.8% 10.9% 13.2% 14.8% 13.7% 8.2% 2.1%
Stefano Palamara 13.4% 14.4% 13.2% 11.5% 12.4% 11.7% 8.6% 7.3% 3.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 6.5% 6.2% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 12.1% 11.0% 10.9% 5.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Benjamin Knisely 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 5.7% 8.6% 12.0% 18.4% 22.6% 18.8%
Jasmine Chen 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.8% 7.4% 10.3% 15.3% 18.7% 17.4% 8.9%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 5.2% 8.1% 14.5% 21.5% 39.2%
Lydia LoPiccolo 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 5.5% 10.5% 15.2% 22.9% 29.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.