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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Edmunds 9.0% 9.0% 9.3% 10.6% 11.7% 11.8% 11.5% 10.0% 8.2% 5.6% 2.2% 1.1%
Duncan Howes 7.4% 8.8% 9.6% 10.4% 10.7% 9.9% 11.6% 10.1% 9.8% 6.8% 3.7% 1.2%
Robert Floyd 15.6% 13.6% 15.1% 11.5% 12.0% 10.4% 9.1% 6.9% 3.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Maxwell Simmons 11.9% 14.4% 12.3% 13.6% 10.3% 10.6% 7.5% 7.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Duncan Swain 19.6% 19.6% 14.4% 13.0% 10.5% 9.3% 5.8% 4.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 14.6% 10.9% 13.9% 12.7% 12.0% 9.4% 9.2% 8.3% 5.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Scott Goodrich 8.0% 8.3% 9.8% 8.9% 9.3% 9.8% 10.0% 11.1% 10.9% 8.1% 4.0% 1.8%
Edward Moan 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.1% 6.8% 6.5% 8.0% 14.1% 18.4% 28.9%
William Dykes 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 5.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.9% 14.0% 21.1% 24.3%
Terry Duncan 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 1.8% 3.4% 5.3% 4.5% 7.5% 10.3% 12.4% 22.2% 24.5%
Sarah Fuller 3.3% 3.0% 3.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 8.3% 8.7% 13.1% 16.7% 14.2% 10.9%
Patrick Penwell 4.7% 5.2% 3.6% 6.5% 7.8% 9.0% 8.7% 11.1% 13.4% 12.3% 11.4% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.