Race 7A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Maxwell Simmons 12.6% 11.9% 11.6% 13.4% 10.5% 10.9% 9.9% 9.0% 4.9% 3.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Duncan Howes 7.1% 9.4% 9.5% 9.4% 10.2% 10.1% 11.6% 10.6% 10.5% 6.8% 3.4% 1.4%
Duncan Swain 21.0% 16.2% 15.6% 13.3% 11.5% 9.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Bryce Kopp 12.6% 12.8% 13.4% 14.2% 10.8% 10.6% 8.3% 7.7% 5.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Edward Moan 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.9% 6.0% 7.0% 8.1% 15.2% 19.0% 28.3%
Scott Goodrich 7.4% 8.3% 8.4% 9.0% 8.9% 10.5% 11.9% 9.5% 12.4% 6.9% 5.5% 1.3%
William Dykes 2.1% 2.8% 2.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 10.2% 14.0% 20.1% 24.4%
Peter Edmunds 11.3% 10.2% 10.5% 9.5% 11.4% 9.2% 9.7% 10.1% 8.5% 4.6% 3.8% 1.2%
Patrick Penwell 3.6% 4.5% 6.6% 5.8% 9.7% 8.2% 10.3% 11.5% 12.8% 11.5% 11.3% 4.2%
Sarah Fuller 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 7.8% 7.3% 10.1% 11.8% 15.7% 14.4% 10.5%
Robert Floyd 15.1% 14.6% 12.7% 11.6% 12.7% 11.2% 8.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Terry Duncan 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 8.0% 9.6% 15.1% 19.6% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.