Race 12B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Magill 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.7% 5.9% 6.2% 8.8% 11.1% 13.1% 15.8% 12.8% 6.7% 3.3%
Reid Shanabrook 17.8% 19.4% 16.2% 14.5% 9.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Murray 6.2% 6.9% 5.5% 6.9% 8.2% 8.2% 10.1% 13.4% 12.2% 11.2% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7%
Nathan Whisner 10.5% 10.2% 12.0% 11.7% 12.7% 11.4% 10.2% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Luke Hayes 9.2% 8.2% 9.3% 11.7% 10.4% 10.9% 11.3% 10.0% 11.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 14.3% 14.2% 12.8% 12.7% 12.6% 10.5% 8.5% 6.6% 5.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 14.3% 13.3% 13.1% 11.6% 12.2% 10.8% 9.3% 7.3% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Shay Gualdoni 5.9% 6.9% 7.1% 7.2% 8.5% 11.3% 10.8% 10.9% 11.7% 10.2% 6.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Benjamin Knisely 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 7.6% 12.2% 17.3% 23.4% 19.6%
Alex Heim 12.7% 11.3% 13.0% 12.1% 12.0% 10.9% 9.2% 8.2% 5.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Rotondo 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 4.5% 6.0% 6.8% 10.0% 15.7% 18.6% 16.6% 9.1%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 1.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 5.3% 9.2% 12.2% 21.6% 38.7%
Lydia LoPiccolo 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 9.7% 17.2% 24.3% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.